Asymptotic final-size distribution for some chain-binomial processes
- 1 June 1985
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Advances in Applied Probability
- Vol. 17 (03) , 477-495
- https://doi.org/10.1017/s0001867800015196
Abstract
The classical Reed-Frost process is generalized by allowing infection probabilities to depend on current epidemic size. Such a process can be imbedded in a simple Markov process derived from i.i.d. waiting times. The final size of the epidemic has the same distribution as the time for the first crossing of a certain linear barrier of the imbedding process. The asymptotic distribution of the final size can be derived from some weak convergence results for the imbedding process. The existence of a distribution determining set of harmonic functions for these chain-binomial processes is also established.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- On the asymptotic distribution of the size of a stochastic epidemicJournal of Applied Probability, 1983
- Threshold limit theorems for some epidemic processesAdvances in Applied Probability, 1980