Consistency of Akaike's Information Criterion for Infinite Variance Autoregressive Processes
Open Access
- 1 June 1989
- journal article
- Published by Institute of Mathematical Statistics in The Annals of Statistics
- Vol. 17 (2) , 824-840
- https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176347145
Abstract
Suppose $\{X_n\}$ is a $p$th order autoregressive process with innovations in the domain of attraction of a stable law and the true order $p$ unknown. The estimate $\hat{p}$ of $p$ is chosen to minimize Akaike's information criterion over the integers $0, 1, \cdots, K$. It is shown that $\hat{p}$ is weakly consistent and the consistency is retained if $K \rightarrow \infty$ as $N \rightarrow \infty$ at a certain rate depending on the index of the stable law.
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