Abstract
By limiting attention to the lowest-order Fourier modes we obtain a theory of the Fermi-Pasta-Ulam recurrence that gives excellent agreement with recent numerical results. Both the predicted period of the recurrence and the temporal development of the n=0 mode are very good fits. The maximum of the n=1 mode, however, is off by about 30%. (The nonlinear Schrödinger equation governs the development of the envelope of the electric field of a nonlinear Langmuir wave in the plasma-physics context. It also describes gravity waves in deep water.)

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