Predicting belief and belief change using a cognitive theory of argument and evidence
- 2 June 1979
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Communication Monographs
- Vol. 46 (2) , 142-146
- https://doi.org/10.1080/03637757909376000
Abstract
This paper settles on a coherent mathematical description of the process of argument. Results show that the cognitive model typically explains between a quarter and a half of the variance in belief in an argument's claim, and a quarter of the variance in belief change. The most accurate results occur when a multiple regression equation is used to predict levels of belief in an argument's conclusion, and when stepwise multiple regression is used to predict belief change.Keywords
This publication has 1 reference indexed in Scilit:
- A probabilistic analysis of the relationships among belief and attitudes.Psychological Review, 1970