Simulating the Longevity of Adult Pink Bollworms12

Abstract
An algorithm is presented that allows one to estimate the daily survival of a cohort of adult pink bollworms, Pectinophora gossypiella (Saunders), at fluctuating temperatures. First a temperature dependent parameter, L, is calculated either by an iterative procedure using daily percent survival data or by the equations ŷ = −8.6438 + 1.8379X for males or ŷ = −7.9473 + 1.6970X for females, where ŷ is the loge of L and X is the loge of the average daily temperature in °C. Then the value for L is used in the equation S(K + 1) = S(K) − (L × S(K)) × [1.055 − S(K)], where S(K + 1) is the fraction surviving on day K + l, and S(K) is the fraction surviving on day K of the adult life of the cohort.

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