L'effet en amont de la carte électorale: le cas de la région de Québec à l'élection fédérale de 1968

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Abstract
The Effect of Redistributing Municipalities: the Case of Quebec in the Federal Election of 1968 The authors of this article wished to test two hypotheses about the effect of transferring municipalities from one constituency to another, using the case of Quebec in the federal election of 1968. The first hypothesis was that there would be more shifting of votes in municipalities which had been transferred to a new electoral district. The second was that the change in voting in these municipalities would be in the direction of the trend displayed in the new location. Thus, for example, the vote for the Liberal party would increase in a municipality which was now in a constituency that was more Liberal in its voting pattern. The two suppositions were confirmed very clearly for the Conservative vote. However, only the first hypothesis was sustained by the Créditiste vote, while neither hypothesis held for the Liberal vote. The authors suggest that the Conservative vote is more strongly influenced by local circumstances at the regional level of politics. Hence, the impact of redistribution would vary according to the regional (or national) strength of a party.

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