Managing Delphi Surveys Using Nonparametric Statistical Techniques*
- 1 July 1997
- journal article
- Published by Wiley in Decision Sciences
- Vol. 28 (3) , 763-774
- https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5915.1997.tb01330.x
Abstract
Information systems researchers have often turned to a variant of the Delphi survey technique to support their research of key issues in their field. Two particular weaknesses of past studies using this approach have been a lack of a definitive method for conducting the research and a lack of statistical support for the conclusions drawn by the researchers. In this paper, the author presents a method, based on nonparametric statistical techniques, to conduct ranking‐type Delphi surveys, perform analysis, and report results. The author takes this one step further by illustrating an actual analysis of a Delphi survey. The analysis is compared to results that were presented without the benefit of the author's approach. This paper shows that use of the advocated approach can streamline and strengthen studies, improve the validity of results, and thus better serve the consumers of the research findings. Since the ranking‐type Delphi is so popular among information systems researchers, a consistent method is needed to apply to their data collection, analysis, and reporting of results. This paper provides such a method in concise form and illustrates the use of the method in a manner affording comparison between it and previous practice.Keywords
This publication has 14 references indexed in Scilit:
- Important Strategic and Tactical Manufacturing Issues in the 1990sDecision Sciences, 1994
- Key issues in information systems management: An international perspectiveInformation & Management, 1991
- Electronic meeting support: the GroupSystems conceptInternational Journal of Man-Machine Studies, 1991
- Key human resource issues in IS in the 1990s: Views of IS executives versus human resource executivesInformation & Management, 1988
- Key Issues in Information Systems ManagementMIS Quarterly, 1987
- EFTE: An interactive Delphi methodTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 1985
- Public sector use of the Delphi techniqueTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 1983
- Note—On the Aggregation of Individual Probability EstimatesManagement Science, 1981
- Priority Ranking and Consensus FormationManagement Science, 1978
- An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of ExpertsManagement Science, 1963