The accuracy of extrapolation methods; an automatic box–jenkins package sift
- 1 July 1984
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Wiley in Journal of Forecasting
- Vol. 3 (3) , 319-323
- https://doi.org/10.1002/for.3980030309
Abstract
Hill and Woodworth (1980) proposed an algorithm suitable for identifying Box–Jenkins models automatically without reliance on the investigator. This paper first reviews the method. It is then used on the 111 series analysed by Anderson in the Makridakis forecasting competition. The results show that the automatic method of Hill and Woodworth is comparable in terms of accuracy to the full Box–Jenkins identification procedure.Keywords
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