Two New Algorithms for On-Line Modelling and Forecasting of the Load Demand of a Multinode Power System
- 1 July 1981
- journal article
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems
- Vol. PAS-100 (7) , 3246-3253
- https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAS.1981.316653
Abstract
Two on-line algorithms are proposed for modelling and forecasting short-term multiple load demand. First a multivariable time series model is presented with a systematic method for determining its order and estimating its parameters. Another model based on the state variable form is then considered. Two decoupled algorithms, recursive least-squares and adaptive Kalman filtering, are combined in a bootstrap manner to estimate the model parameters and states. The performance of the two methods is compared using data provided by the Ontario Hydro for four loading nodes.Keywords
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